Adverse Adolescent Pathways to Substance Use

The conceptual model proposes that the relationship between anxiety symptomatology and Adverse Patterns of Substance Use (APSU: age of onset, cumulative exposure, severity, and polydrug use) is a function of acute stress reactivity that is underpinned by specific neurobiological and neurocognitive factors measurable at a drug- and alcohol-naïve baseline. Youth at high risk for APSU will be over-sampled using parent and child-reported screeners that include items relating to emotion dysregulation, behavioral impulsivity, susceptibility to peer pressure, friends' conduct problems, and other risk-relevant characteristics to define a high-APSU-risk prodrome. Risk status will be measured as a continuous trait using well-tested thresholds for high and low risk for APSU, and the recruitment strategy will ensure sufficient variability on this axis. This approach ensures a sufficient number of youth will initiate and escalate SU within the time frame of the study, allowing the investigators to assess precursors APSU in high risk youth as a function of anxiety symptomatology and acute stress reactivity, using feasible and adequately powered methods. To test hypotheses, the investigators will prospectively assess acute stress responsivity, anxiety symptoms, specific neural connectivity patterns, and APSU in a sample of 180 substance-naïve youth beginning in early adolescence (age 12-14, Tanner Stage \>3) and two additional 12 month waves of data collection. Participants will complete an acute stress task outside the scanner with psychophysiological monitoring and a resting and performance based MRI session using impulsivity (fronto-striatal-thalamic circuitry), negative valence (threat circuitry), and attention bias (shifting from threat to frontal circuitry) tasks. At each wave, all surveys, cognitive tests, stress physiological, clinical and neuroimaging measures will be assessed. A final online exit survey in year 5 will be conducted simultaneously for all participants to evaluate clinical symptoms and end-point APSU. The proposed prospective, longitudinal design is novel, creative, and timely. Brain imaging studies of this type are typically quite small, often due to cost limitations, and are only able to accurately model a small subset of factors and covariates. The investigators plan to evaluate the complexity of the problem with targeted variables that will be well-defined in the sample and tracked over time in relation to APSU in an atypically large sample for neuroimaging. This design will enable within- and between-subject comparisons that prospectively: (1) characterize substance use pathways (e.g., nature and extent of use over time) in the context of neurobiological and neurocognitive mechanisms associated with physiological responses to acute stress that underlie anxiety symptoms, (2) tracks developmental change in these processes, and (3) differentiates between potentially distinctive neural pathways that influence progression to APSU.