Stratification of Risks of Conversion of Radiologically Isolated Syndromes (RIS) by Identifying Biomarkers in Serum and Cerebrospinal Fluid.

Radiologically Isolated Syndrome (RIS) is defined as the presence of asymptomatic, idiopathic demyelinating-appearing white matter lesions in the central nervous system. RIS often precedes clinical multiple sclerosis. Data from the international RIS Consortium indicate that 34% of RIS patients will have their first multiple sclerosis symptom within 5 years, and 51% within 10 years, making RIS the earliest identifiable phase of MS. While most RIS patients will evolve to relapsing MS, \~10% directly evolve towards progressive multiple sclerosis. RIS is an informative cohort for studying the earliest pathophysiologic changes, but remains a significant challenge for MS clinicians, as not all RIS patients will develop clinical symptoms. There is a need to distinguish RIS patients at high risk of clinical MS from those who will remain asymptomatic. Stratification would be invaluable to inform treatment/monitoring recommendations and counsel patients. In the RIS Consortium cohort, age at diagnosis, positive CSF oligoclonal bands (OCBs) or elevated IgG index, infratentorial or spinal cord lesions, and gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions during follow-up independently predicted a first clinical event at 10 years. Additional serum and CSF biomarkers may further refine the risk stratification for clinical MS and may predict more severe tissue injury measured by MRI. Serum and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers can refine risk stratification of the progression from risk to clinical multiple sclerosis and predict more severe tissue damage as measured by magnetic resonance imaging. Identifying early biomarkers to predict greater disease severity would have a significant impact, not only on RIS, but also on the entire clinical spectrum of multiple sclerosis. However, RIS remains a rare disease and large cohorts are needed to validate potential prognostic biomarkers. The international RIS Consortium has had a unique opportunity to apply for a research grant from the National Multiple Sclerosis Society to combine biomarker expertise, advanced magnetic resonance imaging analysis, and collaborative networks and cohorts to refine the prognosis of multiple sclerosis. Here, the proposal is to use biological samples and magnetic resonance imaging data from four large cohorts of patients with multiple sclerosis in the United States, Europe and France. In fact, this proposal is based on existing clinical and magnetic resonance imaging data and stored serum and cerebrospinal fluid samples from the ARISE (clinicaltrials. gov NCT02739542) and TERIS (NCT03122652) trials, which are randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials on multiple sclerosis, as well as two prospective, real-world cohorts of multiple sclerosis patients from the French multiple sclerosis observatory (OFSEP = Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques) and the French multiple sclerosis society (SFSEP = Société Francophone de la Sclérose En Plaques). The French observatory for multiple sclerosis, coordinated by Professor Sandra Vukusic in Lyon, brings together neurologists from all over France and 61 centers that use the European Database for Multiple Sclerosis, including 31 French hospitals and expert centers, and more than 45,000 people with multiple sclerosis or related diseases (half the population with multiple sclerosis in France). This includes a priority effort involving at least 85 RIS patients validated by the central supervision of the RIS consortium (Prof. Christine Lebrun-Frenay, Nice), with longitudinal follow-up and systematic association of clinical data with biological samples and neuro-imaging. Standardized biological samples obtained from RIS patients and banked in certified biological resource centers guarantee the high quality of biological samples associated with clinical and medical imaging data collected prospectively in the EDMUS database. This biocollection offers a unique opportunity to identify and validate potential biomarkers of disease activity and clinical conversion in RIS patients, notably in association with those of randomized clinical trials and the SFSEP, which relies on the same French network of experts in multiple sclerosis (CRC-SEP = Centres de Ressources et de Compétences sur la Sclérose en Plaques) and biological research centers. The hypothesis is that increases in the serum Neurofilament Light (sNfl) chain and serum Glial Fibrillary Astrocytic Protein (sGFAP) will be associated with higher numbers of new gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions, higher T2 lesion volume, higher rates of clinical relapse, and faster thalamic volume decline over 96 weeks.