NRD to Predict COPD Exacerbations at Home

Introduction COPD is a common and serious disease, and is a major burden on patients and the National Health Service. Current markers to detect and monitor exacerbations and response to treatment are based on symptoms reported by patients, clinical assessment and Early Warning Scores, which are a composite measurement of standard observations, including heart rate, blood pressure, respiratory rate and oxygen saturations. However these scores have been validated on general populations and there is concern regarding their application to COPD patients. There is currently no objective biomarker to predict and monitor COPD exacerbations in routine clinical use. NRD is measured using parasternal intercostal EMG measurements. Daily NRD measurements during hospital admission with exacerbation of COPD has been demonstrated to be a reproducible non-invasive measurement which is acceptable to patients. Importantly, it can reliably detect clinical deterioration and worsening in patient reported breathlessness more reliably than current standard assessments. This observational pilot feasibility study is designed to identify whether NRD can be measured reliably at home following discharge from hospital with exacerbation of COPD, and whether it can detect respiratory deterioration within 30 days. This technique thus has the potential to allow early detection of deterioration at home, which can facilitate early treatment in the community and potentially avoid hospital readmission, which would have a profound impact on both patients and the NHS. Study objectives Primary: The primary objective of the study is to investigate whether home measurement of NRD can detect an exacerbation of COPD (symptom based definition) within a 30-day post hospital discharge period. Secondary Clinical: * To validate NRD as an advanced physiological biomarker of clinical respiratory deterioration and a re-exacerbation of COPD * To analyse NRD trajectory as it relates to standardly subjective measurements of respiratory symptoms e.g. COPD Assessment Test (CAT) and Modified Borg Scale (mBorg), or symptoms as assessed by the EXACT-PRO questionnaire * To determine positive and negative predictive value of NRD, and/or a combination of clinical features, to detect clinical respiratory deterioration * To assess correlation of change in NRD, physical activity and symptom resolution Feasibility: -To investigate quality of parasternal EMG measurements performed in the home environment Technical: -To use the data collected during the study to tune, refine, optimise the automated NRD calculation algorithm Study end-points Primary end-point: Change in NRD from baseline to day prior to an acute exacerbation of COPD. Secondary outcomes * Change in NRD from peak exacerbation (hospital) to recovery baseline (home) * Correlation of time to recovery as measured by NRD and EXACT-PRO * Correlation of NRD to EXACT-PRO from hospital discharge to recovery * Correlation of NRD to physical activity from hospital discharge to recovery * Physician-assessed exacerbation within 30-day post-discharge * Self-treated exacerbation within 30-day post-discharge * All cause hospital readmission within 30-day post-discharge * Mortality within 30-day post-discharge * Recovery as defined by the EXACT-PRO within 30-day post-discharge * Medication change within 30-day post-discharge * Unplanned healthcare contacts * Attendance of emergency department (without admission) Methods 30 consecutive patients admitted to St Thomas' Hospital with a primary diagnosis of exacerbation of COPD will be enrolled within 16 hours of admission who fulfil inclusion and exclusion criteria (listed below). Baseline assessments will include recording of age, height, weight, pack year smoking history, exacerbation frequency, pre-admission lung function and breathlessness score, co-morbidities, regular medications, chest x-ray, venous and arterial blood test results already taken by the medical team, symptom questionnaires (CAT, mBorg and EXACT-PRO), vital observations (heart rate, blood pressure, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation and use of supplementary oxygen), lung function and NRD. Participants will receive inpatient assessments by an investigator to receive an update from the clinical team and measure standard observations, NRD and complete the EXACT-PRO questionnaire. On the day of discharge, participants' updated medical history and blood tests will be documented and vital observations, symptom questionnaires (CAT, mBorg and EXACT-PRO), lung function and NRD will be measured. Participants will be issued with a physical activity monitor which will be worn for the remaining duration of the study. Participants will then receive home visits from an investigator, who are experienced in the management of COPD, to measure NRD, complete the EXACT-PRO symptom questionnaire and review participants' daily symptom diary. Lung function and the CAT symptom questionnaire will be performed weekly at home. Participants will be followed up for 30 days following hospital discharge or until they are readmitted to hospital, whichever is sooner. Study design: Observational cohort design Inclusion criteria * Age 40-80 years * Patients hospitalised with a primary diagnosis of an acute exacerbation of COPD * Body mass index (BMI) ≤ 35 kg/m2 * Cognitively and linguistically able to follow instructions given in English and provide informed consent * To be discharged to home following the hospitalisation * Patient lives in the catchment area served by the Integrated Respiratory Team at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust in a home environment deemed safe by the investigators to perform home assessments Exclusion criteria * Previous home PAP (CPAP or NIV) therapy use within the past year, or post-discharge * Allergies to latex, metals or local anaesthetic agents * Wound or inflamed skin at parasternal location (2nd intercostal space) * History of skin allergies or sensitivity to cosmetics and lotions * Psychological and social factors that would impair compliance with study protocol and schedule * Any major non-COPD chronic disease or condition, such as severe heart failure (LVEF\<30%), malignancy (active treatment and palliation), end stage renal failure/dialysis, significant neuromuscular disease (eg. NMD, MD) determined by review of medical history and / or patient reported medical history that may contribute significantly to risk of readmission, as determined by PI * Length of stay \< 6 hours * Planned travel away from home within the 30 day post discharge period Consent: Patient will be provided with a patient information sheet and have a minimum of one hour to consider trial participation. A longer period for consideration of trial participation can be provided if required by the patient, however baseline assessments must be made within 16 hours of hospital admission. Risk and benefit: Sticker placement for the EMG electrodes may require participants to shave their chest. The adhesive stickers and the skin preparation gel may cause minor skin irritation. Participants are required to perform sniff manoeuvres as part of NRD measurement which may feel uncomfortable. Participants will be advised to breath normally should they feel light headed or breathless. There will be no direct benefit to individual participants. However the study aims to develop a technique that can be used to predict and prevent hospital readmission following admission with exacerbation of COPD, which will have benefits for the wider community of patients and the NHS. Confidentiality: Participants' name, date of birth and other identifiable information will be collected during the study phase. All stored data will be in line with the Caldicott principals, data protection and REC guidelines. Conflicts of interest: There are no perceived conflicts of interest. Participants' supervising consultants will remain responsible for clinical care and will not be involved in the collection or interpretation of the research data, which will be performed by a dedicated research team. Tissue and biological samples: No tissue or biological samples will be obtained for the study protocol outside of routine care. Protocol amendments: In September 2018, the following amendments were made to the protocol which were approved by the London-Westminster Research Ethics Committee: * Addition of the Modified Borg Score to daily assessments to measure subjective breathlessness intensity * Inclusion criterion six was amended so that participants must live in the catchment area served by the Integrated Respiratory Team (not the "Lane Fox Respiratory Unit") at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust for clinical, safety and practical purposes. * Collection of hospital admission, healthcare utilisation and mortality data following study participation from electronic medical records