Hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS) has a case fatality rate of 40-50 percent. Andes virus (ANDV) is the primary pathogen in Chile and Argentina. This is a prospective observational study to access the incidence of and risk factors associated with transmission of HCPS to close household contacts from HCPS index cases including examination of the shedding of virus in various body fluids as a factor in transmissibility. The study will enroll 76 cardiopulmonary syndrome HCPS index cases and 140 of their close household contacts, age 2 and older, at risk for contracting HCPS.
The index cases will participate for the initial visit; the household contact participants will be followed for 35 days. The primary objectives of this study are: to estimate the secondary attack rate of hantavirus infection among close household contacts of an HCPS case after one incubation period of follow up; to use personal interviews and questionnaires to assess and compare risk activities and demographic factors in close household contacts who develop HCPS with those contacts who do not identify specific high-risk activities such as exposure to saliva or respiratory secretions; to use personal interviews and questionnaires to assess and compare risk activities and demographic factors in index cases (the first case in the household) versus household contacts who do not develop HCPS; and to determine the prevalence of hantavirus in various body fluids in index patients with HCPS and in household contacts who acquire infection and consequently determine any association of presence of virus in a body fluid with phase of infection.
Both infectious virus (culture) and viral genomic RNA (quantitative RT-PCR) will be measured. The secondary objectives of this study will be: to determine the quantity of hantavirus in various body fluids in index patients with HCPS and in household contacts that acquire infection and consequently determine any association of presence of virus in a body fluid with phase of infection. Both infectious virus (culture) and viral genomic RNA (quantitative RT-PCR) will be measured; to develop a predictive statistical model where the epidemiological and the virological variables (cultures, ANDV antibodies, PCR, neutralizing antibodies, HSV 1 and 2 antibodies) could be scored and used to predict a new case within a household group; to determine the feasibility of rapid viral diagnostic testing to determine whether virologic results can be obtained sufficiently in advance of the onset of illness to permit more effective triage of patients who are indeed about to develop HCPS; and to determine the sequences of ANDV from index and additional cases to establish the extent of sequence identity from viruses within and outside of family clusters.
The primary endpoints of this study are: to determine the incidence of additional cases of hantavirus (ANDV) among close household contacts of a confirmed index case during a complete incubation period of follow up; evaluate risk activities and demographic factors associated with increased risk of transmission of ANDV between index cases and members of households and their respective index cases; measure risk activities and demographic factors associated with increased risk of acquisition of ANDV from environmental sources by comparing index cases with household contacts that do and do not develop HCPS; and determine the presence of virus and measure of viral RNA in body fluids over time in index cases and in additional cases in household contacts.
The secondary endpoints will be: to determine the most sensitive culture approach for detection of ANDV in body fluids at different stages of infection; identify the best model to predict the occurrence of an additional case within a family group; evaluate nucleotide similarity as ancillary marker to enrich or de-enrich the probability of person to person transmission of AND virus. The duration of this study is expected to be 3 years.
